Articles | Volume 33, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-33-405-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-33-405-2015
Regular paper
 | 
27 Mar 2015
Regular paper |  | 27 Mar 2015

Online NARMAX model for electron fluxes at GEO

R. J. Boynton, M. A. Balikhin, and S. A. Billings

Viewed

Total article views: 1,665 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
942 660 63 1,665 66 67
  • HTML: 942
  • PDF: 660
  • XML: 63
  • Total: 1,665
  • BibTeX: 66
  • EndNote: 67
Views and downloads (calculated since 27 Mar 2015)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 27 Mar 2015)

Cited

Latest update: 24 Apr 2024
Download
Short summary
Data-based models have been derived to forecast the >0.8MeV and >2MeV electron fluxes at geostationary Earth orbit. The models employ solar wind parameters as inputs to provide an estimate of the average electron flux for the following day, i.e. the 1-day-ahead forecast. The identified models are shown to provide a reliable forecast for both >0.8MeV and >2MeV electron fluxes and are capable of providing real-time warnings of when the electron fluxes will be dangerously high.