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Annales Geophysicae An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 28, issue 9
Ann. Geophys., 28, 1633–1645, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-28-1633-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Ann. Geophys., 28, 1633–1645, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-28-1633-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  03 Sep 2010

03 Sep 2010

Thermospheric mass density variations during geomagnetic storms and a prediction model based on the merging electric field

R. Liu1,2, H. Lühr1, E. Doornbos3, and S.-Y. Ma2 R. Liu et al.
  • 1Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
  • 2Dept. of Space Physics, College of Electronic Information, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China
  • 3Delft University of Technology, 2629 HS Delft, The Netherlands

Abstract. With the help of four years (2002–2005) of CHAMP accelerometer data we have investigated the dependence of low and mid latitude thermospheric density on the merging electric field, Em, during major magnetic storms. Altogether 30 intensive storm events (Dstmin<−100 nT) are chosen for a statistical study. In order to achieve a good correlation Em is preconditioned. Contrary to general opinion, Em has to be applied without saturation effect in order to obtain good results for magnetic storms of all activity levels. The memory effect of the thermosphere is accounted for by a weighted integration of Em over the past 3 h. In addition, a lag time of the mass density response to solar wind input of 0 to 4.5 h depending on latitude and local time is considered. A linear model using the preconditioned Em as main controlling parameter for predicting mass density changes during magnetic storms is developed: ρ=0.5 Em + ρamb, where ρamb is based on the mean density during the quiet day before the storm. We show that this simple relation predicts all storm-induced mass density variations at CHAMP altitude fairly well especially if orbital averages are considered.

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